Future Pundit disputes Steven Pinker’s assertion genetic enhancement is too unlikely to worry about.
Randall says:
It is my estimation we are within at the very most 20 years of the time when a large assortment of gene therapies will be available to genetically enhance fetuses. Once it becomes possible there will be a stampede for genetic enhancement. Gene therapy will have a very positive image with the public when a large assortment of gene therapies to cure illnesses and to enhance performance of adults become available. The public, accustomed to having gene therapy done on themselves for benefical purposes as adults, will not shrink from considering gene therapy options when planning to have children.
I think 20 years is a good estimate. Remember, they say that the biotech revolution is just starting, and notice how far we’ve gone in computers in 20 years! Even if biotech advancement is a fraction of infotech-it won’t be something to sneeze at…. (A good Wintel desktop in the late 1990s had more computing power than the North American air traffic control system in 1985)
P.S. So is Greg Smith the future of humanity then? An IQ too high to quantify and planning on four doctorates by age 30. What is the ideal human anyway? -Martin
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