There has been recent talk about GMOs and political orientation recently. Keith Kloor has pointers to the appropriate places. The general impression on all sides seems to be that elite voices against genetically modified organisms are on the Left. To my knowledge this is correct, especially in the United States. But is this true more broadly? We can use the General Social Survey to explore this further. It has a series of questions relating to genetically modified organisms. All except one were asked in 2006 (the exception was 2010).
For replication here are the variables:
Row: EATGM POLINFGM BIZINFGM MEDAGRGM MEDINFGM GMMED GMPOL GMBIZ POLINFNK
Column: POLVIEWS(r:1-3″Liberal”;4″Moderate”;5-7″Conservative”)
There results are presented below (rows add up to 100% for each question).
Attitudes toward genetically modified foods by ideology in the general social survey | |||
Lib | Mod | Conserv | |
Don’t care whether or not food GMO | 15 | 16 | 17 |
Willing to eat but would prefer non-GMO | 55 | 53 | 52 |
Will not eat genetically modified food | 30 | 30 | 31 |
How much influence should group X have? | |||
Politicians | |||
A great deal of influence | 9 | 8 | 6 |
A fair amount of influence | 30 | 32 | 33 |
A little influence | 42 | 35 | 40 |
None at all | 20 | 25 | 21 |
Business leaders | |||
A great deal of influence | 5 | 4 | 3 |
A fair amount of influence | 17 | 17 | 17 |
A little influence | 41 | 43 | 45 |
None at all | 37 | 37 | 35 |
Medical researchers | |||
A great deal of influence | 48 | 41 | 44 |
A fair amount of influence | 40 | 43 | 43 |
A little influence | 10 | 12 | 10 |
None at all | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Elected officials | |||
A great deal of influence | 8 | 12 | 9 |
A fair amount of influence | 44 | 44 | 36 |
A little influence | 38 | 34 | 41 |
None at all | 11 | 11 | 14 |
Do group X agree on the risks of GMO? | |||
Medical researchers | |||
1 – Near complete agreement | 13 | 6 | 11 |
2 | 26 | 19 | 22 |
3 | 40 | 55 | 45 |
4 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
5 – No agreement at all | 8 | 9 | 8 |
How well does group X know risk of GMO? | |||
Medical researchers | |||
1 – Very well | 33 | 34 | 34 |
2 | 36 | 28 | 38 |
3 | 16 | 22 | 17 |
4 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
5 – Not at all | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Elected officials | |||
1 – Very well | 3 | 3 | 4 |
2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
3 | 23 | 28 | 24 |
4 | 33 | 37 | 35 |
5 – Not at all | 35 | 26 | 31 |
Business leaders | |||
1 – Very well | 3 | 3 | 6 |
2 | 13 | 5 | 7 |
3 | 27 | 27 | 24 |
4 | 27 | 37 | 35 |
5 – Not at all | 30 | 29 | 28 |
What this tells us is that elite opinions matter a lot in public discourse. The gap between liberals and non-liberals is not really there on this issue at the grassroots. That could change, as people of various ideologies tend to follow elite cues. This is why the strong counter-attack from within the Left elite is probably going to be effective, as it signals that being against GMO is not the “liberal position.”
Addendum: Just so people who haven’t been reading me know, political moderates tend not to be very intelligent.
Comments are closed.