But both models reach the same conclusion: that modernity is self-destroying, No, its not. It just has to move on to the next step that consists of transhumanism, radical life extension and space colonization; possibly with eugenics mixed in.

There hasn't been enough time for the shift from GWAS to direct sequencing to occur. Direct sequencing is still expensive. Give it a few more years and we will be there. I would revisit around '13 or '14. They under-sample rare variants and DNA regions translated into non-coding RNA, which seems to orchestrate most organic development in vertebrates. Or it may be that thousands of small mutations disrupt body and brain in different ways in different populations. At worst, each human trait may depend on hundreds of thousands of genetic variants that add up through gene-expression patterns of mind-numbing complexity. Epicycles and more epicycles.

Razib, A little off topic, but I thought I would post it anyways since this is discussed from time to time in this blog. http://pewforum.org/future-of-the-global-muslim-population-regional-europe.aspx A well-balanced look at the future of Islamic immigration and population in Europe from the Pew Forum. Essentially there is some cause for concern, but nothing like the catastrophic predictions made by Mark Steyn and the like. I think the real issue in 2030 will be Sub-Saharan African immigration worldwide, since this is the only major region of the world that still has a high birth rate (above 3.0 fertility rate).