British HIV-AIDS rates soaring

The Scotsman reports that rates of HIV-AIDS infection are soaring in England, most of those being in and around London. The causes?

The majority of new cases diagnosed in the UK are the result of people migrating from countries with the biggest HIV problem, especially Africa.

Something else to consider in the immigration debate.

GFA adds: On a related note, Mexican migrant workers here in the US have an HIV rate “three times as high as the rate in the general U.S. and Mexican populations.” More info here.

Posted by scottm at 10:18 PM

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Alexander

Just got back from seeing the Oliver Stone insult to the hellenes “Alexander” and I thought I would offer a few thoughts.

First, if you are considering seeing this movie because you like war flicks, don’t. The battle scenes are so confused and a little bizarre (at one point the entire screen becomes tinged with a pink hue, for what reason, I don’t know) that they make one ill watching them (and not because of gore). So on the military movie note, it fails miserably

Second, if you are considering it because you are a history buff, don’t. They really don’t explore the historical Alexander, characters show up when the historical figure should be dead, etc. On the historical note it just passes muster.

Finally, if you are considering seeing the movie because of artistic reason, don’t. While Colin Farell, Jolie, and Kilmer do competent acting jobs, the rest of the cast (Plummer, Hopkins) deliver mangled and painfully awful performances. And Stone delivers some of the most drug-induced celluloid ever.

All in all, I’d give it one star, or a D if you’re looking for a letter grade.

But there was one thing worth seeing in the film, listed below (not work safe)

angelina_jolie_part2097.jpg

My Iroquois Princess. 🙂

Posted by scottm at 09:38 PM

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Spengler deconstructed?

I have only read two pieces by “Spengler.” One was about The Passion of the Christ and the other is this one titled Muslim anguish and Western hypocrisy. The second piece I think is interesting, because it is in line with my idea that Islam is a “brittle” religion (in general).

After reading these essays I am impressed by Spengler’s erudition, but, I hope that readers will approach his assertions with some skepticism, because I think he enjoys performing intellectual sleights of hand to support his theses or biases. One bias I can not ignore I think, especially in light of what I read so long ago about The Passion of the Christ, is that Spengler is not too keen on Roman Catholicism. A few quibbles below to get a flavor of what I think should be considered red flags in digesting his assertions with naive trust.

On Catholicism:

In fact, the terrestrial power of the Church, along with its authority to burn heretics, was pried out of her cold, dead fingers. It took the frightful 30 Years’ War to break the political power of the Church in Europe, and the reunification of Italy to reduce the Vatican to its present postage-stamp dimensions….

Not until the Second Vatican Council of 1965 did the Church reconcile itself to the role of a religion of conscience without temporal power….

Church attendance in most European countries has fallen to single-digit percentages, and the lowest fertility rates are found in Spain and Italy, formerly among the most Catholic. It is unclear whether Catholicism will survive the transition to religion of individual conscience from temporal power, and the prognosis is bleak….

…The great monuments of European Catholicism lie exposed like the bones of extinct mammoths, and in Latin America, the mice of American-style Protestant denominations are eating the eggs of the Catholic dinosaurs.

A few points.

1) Spengler emphasizes the Church’s persecution of heretics, while not offering the balancing position that Protestants also persecuted Catholics, and that activities like “witch” burning were far more prevelant in Protestant countries than Catholic ones. You would have thought that Protestant liberals fought for religious liberty against the One True Church when it was more a clash of intolerances than anything else (something he implies for Christianity in general, but only makes explicit in the case of Catholicism).

2) Yes, the Church did associate religion with temporal power, but the Protestant nations like England or Scandinavia still have an explicit assocation between the monarchy and the established Church. The Prince lives!

3) Yes, Church attendence has fallen, but most precipitously in Protestant Northern Europe (France being the Great Catholic Exception). England has more active practicing Catholics than Anglicans! It was Catholic Europe that pushed to keep Christianity in the Constitution. Yes, the Catholic countries have low fertility, but what has that to do with the reality that Christianity faith tends to be more vigorous in the south of Europe than in the north? Bait & switch I say.

4) Catholicism has been very active in Africa & Asia. The past two prime ministers of South Korea have been Catholic. In many of the former colonies of Protestant Britain Catholicism is the largest Christian confession! The American Catholic Church is growing. Latin American evangelicalism has made inroads mostly into the barely Catholic indigenous peoples and the underclass. This does not imply a religion on its last legs (only in Guatemala might Protestants reach majority status anytime soon).

If you read the piece on The Passion of the Christ Spengler implies that Roman Catholicism is pagan, that Protestantism is the genuine primitive Christianity and so forth. To me, this smells of traditional biases against Roman Catholicism. I don’t read enough about Spengler to sketch out why he would be biased against Catholicism, but the passages above stink of selectivity of erudition to convince readers of something that wasn’t.

To Jews:

Judaism suffered its own transition from a state religion to a private religion of conscience, bloodily and against its will. The best account comes from Rabbi Jacob Neusner and Bruce Chilton, an Episcopal priest. Between the destruction of the Second Temple in Jerusalem in AD 70 and the establishment of Christianity as Rome’s state religion in the 4th century under the Emperor Constantine, the two religions traded places. Judaism ceased to function as the state religion of Israel, and the legal philosophy preserved in the Mishnah gave way to the theology of the Rabbinical writings of the Talmud.

The Christian authorities often ceded Jews enough autonomy that it was not a conventional “religion of conscience” as it was a millet in the Ottoman system. Jews like Baruch Spinoza were excommunicated and ostracized, and hagiographic legends of Jewish mothers killing their children to prevent their forced baptism during pogroms does not to me show a ease with the idea of conscience as opposed to shibboleths and communal conformity. Also, if you note the last sentence, it seems that Spengler wants to pretend as if much of the Rabbinical learning is not legalistic interpretations of the Law. It’s like Spengler doesn’t know that Constantine had a good relationship with the “exilarch” of the Jewish community, one Gamileal. The real change in Judaism happened during the Haskalah, the Jewish Enlightenment, when the old forms and modes of interaction with the Christian majority did give way to individual choice, not during the period of Constantine when the Jewish elite and the Christian elite established a modus vivendi (I do not deny that Jews converted to Christianity en masse during this period, but communalist considerations were no doubt prominent variables in these decisions).

On to Islam:

No such concept of divine love and the ensuing sovereignty of the individual can be found in Islam. Love constrains the Judeo-Christian God, but not Allah.

The problem here is that everyone knows about the Sufis. That some Sufis and other holy orders did emphasize a loving God is highlighted in Karen Armstrong’s A History of God as a possible avenue of Christian influence on Islam. Needless, the point is that though one might assert that Christianity has modal character A and Islam B, one need not categorically deny that A might be expressed in Islam on occassion, if not modally (these ideological fixations are of course at variance with the common day experience and expression of religious faith in my opinion, which is basically the same). I might also point out here that perhaps Spengler could comment on the relative sternness of the Calvinist God in comparison to many other Christian denominations and what it implies for Reformed Protestantism? (I happen to think Reformed Protestantism is also “brittle”)

My critique isn’t to say that Spengler’s theses in this context is wrong, I happen to think it is more correct than not, but, readers beware, I feel the man has a tendency to spin his erudition to purposes other than explicitly stated. I say this as someone who has engaged in the same thing, I can recognize a fox because I’ve gone into the chicken-coop myself (I know I am harder on the Christian Roman Empire because I admire the latitudinarianism of the pagan Empire, sometimes I just can’t help myself!).

Addendum: Also, props to Spengler for making an attempt to write things like this. Negative critiques are almost trivial on topics like this (for every 100 examples there might be 1 counter-example, but in text the proponent of position A with 100 examples can not state all 100 in prose, so the chasm between A with 100
supporting points and B with 1 supporting point is not clarified well in its magnitude. In other words, falsification is really easy for many theses based on history). I had to post this though because I simply can’t believe that Spengler believes everything he writes. His readers deserve more exposition on his own axioms as a piece commences, or, they deserve more modest essays.

Posted by razib at 03:07 PM

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Evolution & kinship

I’m reading Evolution and Kinship (human). It’s a nice little (176 pages) theoretical mathematical treatment of human kinship in the Hamiltonian spirit. The first chapter is a philosophical overview that discusses the author’s methodology and angle on the differences within cultural anthropology. Published in 1988 it is a little dated, but I recommend readers check it out at their local college library! (nice companion if you are reading something thick, specific and data-filled)

Posted by razib at 04:22 PM

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Why they hate us

I have noted before that trite characterizations of why terrorists do what they do, be it “poverty” or a “hatred of freedom” are often inaccurate. ParaPundit points me to this article Understanding Terror Networks. The author focuses on the hardcore transnational terrorists rather than those engaged in national struggles. Highlights (sample of 400):

~3/4 were upper middle class (scratch poverty).
63% had gone to college.
Average age 26 (not surprising).
73% were married, often with children.
The natural sciences & engineering predominate (few had religous backgrounds).

First, it should be no surprise that transnational terrorists are a well educated sample. They are often fighting for intangible abstract principles, a War of Ideas, and such things are often only salient to those for whom ideas are the bread & butter of daily life. Remember, the European Wars of Religion were sparked by the interests of the propertied elite (ie; lesser princes in the Holy Roman Empire & knights) and intellectuals who motivated the masses toward fanaticism by overheated rhetoric (though the masses often rose up in anti-Reformation rebellions because of their attachment to the “smells & bells” of the Catholic religion in reformed regions).1 Concepts like “Christendom” or the Ummah are words that most people might assent to with varying levels of emotional commitment, but I suspect it takes mobile intellectuals who prioritize the world of ideas over conventional bonds of family, heimat and volk to really preoccupy over these constructs to the point where they become genuine motivating forces in their actions (rather than an excuse to engage in a peasant revolt against economic oppression or a way to repossess the property of religious orders).

Literacy and institutions devoted to intellectual pursuits2 bind together transcommunity information networks and have resulted in the rise of Civilization as we know it, but, these same forces often have an acidic impact on common sense notions of decency and proportionality mediated by insitutions and cognitive states shaped by our EEA. The “intellectual” is profoundly unnatural, and the notion that one would give up one’s life so that someone on the other side of the world would eventually profess the same set of axioms about some theological or metaphysical construct likely seems bizarre to most people because it is rather bizarre.

And this is where the natural sciences come in. If you spend much of your adult life focusing on methods and techniques that are highly esoteric and often counterintuitive, but, manage to make predictions that are uncanny in their fidelity to reality, is it surprising that you would take the axioms of your religion to heart, and start constructing a chain of inferences? Additionally, many of these individuals are psychologically distinct from the general population, as training in the natural sciences often selects for an individual who has a specific set of interests and predispositions at variance with the norm (so they are less buffered by “normal” considerations in keeping their ideas in perspective). People who are religiously trained are, in my experience, often great at the double-think that suggests that though religious belief A implies bizarre behavior B (“love thine enemy”), it really doesn’t mean you should act weird!. Acting weird is for heaven, or for a religious elite, or some other loophole that allows normalcy free rein. Groups that do act weird, like the Shakers for instance, tend to have an ephemeral existence because their ideas are not that attractive to most people (their ideas often elicit admiration but not conversion). Many people without religious training, and especially those from the sciences where plain & transparent axioms exist to construct testable models, diagnose patients or engineer mechanical devices seem to treat religious commandments in the same fashion.3 Mix this with a relative lack of social fluency & a mobile unrooted lifestyle ((so there are fewer normal constraints on bizarre behavior), and you get a mindset that I think normal people have a hard time comprehending simply through introspection.

(notes below)

1 – I do not mean to imply that people of common intelligence are by their nature tolerant and accepting in their views, rather, a concerted and cohesive mobilization and triggering of the appropriate cognitive biases are generated from above, whether it be through ritualized mantra, shibboleths concocted by religious leaders or emotional oratory. “Primitive” societies are filled with plenty of mayhem, faction and murder, but they lack the focused cohesiveness of mass mobilized agricultural societies where the head (the elite) manipulates a far larger body (the masses).

2 – I include religious institutions in this category.

3 – Many who have haunted talk.origins and alt.atheism have observed that engineers are overrepresented among articulate Creationists, that is, those who have given thought to their beliefs in a reflective fashion. I can also attest that the mosques that my parents attended when I was a child generally had the token engineer-fundamentalist who wanted to re-engineer everyone else’s life to be more properly “Islamic,” and had a hard time understanding the nuances of the differences between Islamic traditions.

Posted by razib at 12:50 PM

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Bacon Number

Here’s a post for the gnxp humor archive (hey Razib, how come there no “waste of time” category?) I came across the Oracle of Bacon and thought others might want to play around with it. Did you know that Kevin Bacon wasn’t really the best choice to be at the center of this game. In fact, in the IMDB dataset of 800,000 actors, he’s the 1,049th best candidate. Who’s the best? Why none other than Rod Steiger followed closely by ole Saruman/Count Dooku/Scaramanga himself. Even Starksy & Hutch’s Huggie Bear (Antonio Fargas) and Bond Girl Dr. Holly Goodhead (Lois Chiles) have a higher degree of centeredness.

I wanted to test out how well the Oracle worked, so I chose the cast of Hogan’s Heroes as my guinea pigs.

Bob Crane, John Banner, Werner Klemperer, Richard Dawson, Larry Hovis, Ivan Dixon, and Robert Clary. I was mighty impressed by the fact that each of them only needed 2 links to Bacon, until I realized that over 145,000 actors had a score of 2. hmm. At least they all beat out National Review’s John Derbyshire, who having starred in a movie with Bruce Lee, scores at 3.

So, if you’re looking to waste some time and want to revisit the year 1996, when the Oracle of Bacon made its debut, why not see if you can find a more show that can score lower than the 2.000 for Hogan’s Heroes.

Posted by TangoMan at 08:42 PM

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Creationism: The Grand Canyon

No, the title isn’t a reference to the symbolism of some chasm that creationism has to cross. Simply, the battlefront has expanded from schoolboards to the tourist shops in the National Park:

At a park called Dinosaur Adventure Land, run by creationists near Pensacola, Florida, visitors are informed that man coexisted with dinosaurs. This fantasy accommodates the creationists’ view that the Earth is only 6,000 years old and that Darwin’s theory of evolution is false. Among the park exhibits is one that illustrates another creationist article of faith. It consists of a long trough filled with sand and fitted at one end with a water spigot. Above the trough is a sign reading “That River Didn’t Make That Canyon.” When visitors open the spigot, the water quickly cuts a gully through the sand, supposedly demonstrating how the Grand Canyon was created, practically overnight, by Noah’s flood. That’s nonsense, of course, but what else would you expect at a creationist park? Certainly, one might think, this couldn’t be acceptable at, say, a National Park, right? Think again.

Two-thirds of the way across the continent, some four million people annually visit Grand Canyon National Park, marveling at the awesome view. In National Park Service (NPS) affiliated bookstores, they can find literature informing them that the great chasm runs for 277 miles along the bed of the Colorado River. It descends more than a mile into the earth, and along one stretch, is some 18 miles wide, its walls displaying impressive layers of limestone, sandstone, shale, schist and granite.

And, oh yes, it was formed about 4,500 years ago, a direct consequence of Noah’s Flood. How’s that? Yes, this is the ill-informed premise of “Grand Canyon, a Different View,” a handsomely-illustrated volume also on sale at the bookstores. It includes the writings of creationists and creation scientists and was compiled by Tom Vail, who with his wife operates Canyon Ministries, conducting creationist-view tours of the canyon. “For years,” Vail explains, “as a Colorado River guide, I told people how the Grand Canyon was formed over the evolutionary time span of millions of years. (Most geologists place the canyon’s age at some six million years). Then I met the Lord. Now I have a different view of the Canyon, which according to a biblical time scale, can’t possibly be more than a few thousand years old.”

Sure, the story is good for a chuckle, but just like with the schoolboard battles, we should never underestimate the enemy:

But when Grand Canyon National Park superintendent Joe Alston attempted to block the sale of Vail’s book at canyon bookstores, he was overruled by NPS headquarters, which announced that a high-level policy review of the matter would be launched and a decision made by February, 2004. So far, no official decision has been announced.

Even worse, according to the Public Employees for Environmental Responsibility (PEER), an organization that includes many Park employees, papers obtained under the Freedom of Information Act reveal that no review has ever taken place. Indeed, PEER claims that the Bush Administration has already decided it will stand by its approval for the book and that hundreds more have been ordered. “Now that the book has become quite popular,” explained an NPS flack to a Baptist news agency, “we don’t want to remove it.”

Even more troubling, PEER charges that Grand Canyon National Park no longer offers an official estimate of the age of the canyon, and that the NPS has blocked publication of guidance intended for park rangers that reminds them there is no scientific basis for creationism. The group has been increasingly concerned about what it calls the Park Service’s “Faith-Based Parks” and the agency’s seeming indifference to the separation of church and state Among other moves, for example, NPS has allowed the placing of bronze plaques bearing Psalm verses at Grand Canyon overlooks. PEER Executive Director Jeff Ruch is indignant, “If the Bush Administration is using public resources for pandering to Christian fundamentalists, it should at least have the decency to tell the truth about it.”

It seems that in this case, unlike many of the schoolboard battles, the creationists have friends in high places who are able to exert their bureaucratic influence over the departments under their purvue, unlike the decentralized schools where the creationist battle most be fought repeatedly on multiple fronts.

Posted by TangoMan at 05:03 AM

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The Martian Chronicler

Ray Bradbury has a really good short article in the WSJ about what it will take to get mankind back into the space race.

Or, most incredible of all, imagine that the Vatican decided that Pope John III wished to build a spacecraft titled The Holy Ghost in order to fly across the universe in search of the beginnings of Creation. With the moon as base and Mars as second manger, that Pope might move on to study the wellsprings of the cosmos.

What then would be the effect on our prejudiced secular America? Would we not build a bigger, better, and almost more holy rocket to follow the Ecclesiastical dusts?

Or what if the Muslims . . .?

But no, perish the thought.

Cross posted at GNXP Sci-Fi

Posted by scottm at 07:43 PM

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Platypus sex

Nature reports today that the platypus has five chromosomes determing sex

“What we’ve discovered is that these five Xs and five Ys line up in a great big long chain, that go XY XY XY XY XY XY, and then all the X chromosomes move to one pole, and all the Y chromosomes move to the other,” she said.

Professor Graves says there is another unexpected finding.

“One end of the chain looks like human sex chromosomes but the other end of the chain looks like bird sex chromosomes, so the chain is actually linking a very ancient system of sex determination in birds and probably reptiles too,” she said.

Posted by scottm at 05:46 PM

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The curves of mathematics

Just found out about this book The Mathematics of Sex by Dr. Clio Creswell. She seems decent looking, and certainly exploits it on the cover jacket. Here is a larger image. Her website seems out of date for an author promoting a book (no pictures), but here are some clips of her, she seems more appealing in motion than the still images (the clip beings with her assertion that she has vomitted over “many a man”, and clarifies by retelling a story about vomitting on a date’s jacket, but he still calls her back!).

Posted by razib at 12:30 PM

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