The New York Times has a piece with the title A Rebel Filmmaker Tilts Conservative. What conservative tilt is being displayed here? It’s Pandora’s Promise, a film which serves as a sort apologia for nuclear power from environmentalists concerned about climate change. What confuses me is that I don’t understand the specifically conservative tilt here, as I have many friends who evince a nuclear-friendly tilt without seeming politically conservative. Perhaps a generation ago anti-nuclear sentiment was strongly ideological colored, but more recently there has been a boomlet on the enviro-Left in favor of nuclear energy.
The GSS has two variables which query this issue crossed with ideology rather well. Here’s the query so you can replicate:
Row: NUKEELEC NUKEGEN
Column: POLVIEWS(r:1-3″Liberal”;4″Moderate”;5-7″Conservative”)
Selection filter(s): year(2010-*)
Views on nuclear energy N ~ 400 | |||
Lib | Mod | Cons | |
Strongly favor | 16 | 13 | 12 |
Favor | 49 | 50 | 64 |
Oppose | 28 | 27 | 16 |
Strongly oppose | 7 | 9 | 8 |
Nuclear power dangerous to the environment N ~ 1300 | |||
Lib | Mod | Cons | |
Extremely dangerous | 26 | 23 | 16 |
Very dangerous | 25 | 29 | 23 |
Somewhat dangerous | 33 | 32 | 31 |
Not very dangerous | 14 | 13 | 22 |
Not dangerous | 3 | 3 | 8 |
As you can see liberals do tend to be more skeptical of nuclear energy, but it is not stark. In fact, attitudes toward nuclear power seem to be as strongly, if not more so, variant on a populist vs. elite axis than conventional ideology. Here’s the second question replicated for education:
Nuclear power dangerous to the environment N ~ 1300 | |||
No college | College | ||
Extremely dangerous | 26 | 11 | |
Very dangerous | 27 | 21 | |
Somewhat dangerous | 31 | 34 | |
Not very dangerous | 11 | 28 | |
Not dangerous | 4 | 7 |
But, when you look only at college educated individuals the ideology divide doesn’t go away. In fact, it seems more extreme.
Nuclear power dangerous to the environment N ~ 370 | |||
College educated only | |||
Lib | Mod | Cons | |
Extremely dangerous | 14 | 16 | 5 |
Very dangerous | 28 | 22 | 14 |
Somewhat dangerous | 38 | 35 | 28 |
Not very dangerous | 15 | 24 | 42 |
Not dangerous | 5 | 4 | 11 |
That’s strong circumstantial evidence that the gap here is one of cultural norms and values, and not facts.
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