How did I do? First, I got the rank order pretty much down! The only mistake was swapping Richardson and Biden. Second, I didn’t know how the Iowa Democratic Caucus was set up…otherwise, I would have been retarded to not assume it would have taken a “Winner Take All” outcome due to the 15% threshold. Below the fold, with 100% and 96% of precincts for Dems and Repubs respectively. New Hampshire predictions forthcoming!
Candidate | Real Results | My Prediction | Difference |
Barack Obama | 37.6 | 30 | 7.6 |
John Edwards | 29.7 | 28 | 1.7 |
Hillary Clinton | 29.5 | 27 | 2.5 |
Bill Richardson | 2.1 | 4 | -1.9 |
Joe Biden | 0.9 | 5 | -4.1 |
Chris Dodd | 0.1 | 3 | -2.9 |
Mike Gravel | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Dennis J. Kucinich | 0 | 2 | -2 |
0 | |||
Mike Huckabee | 34.3 | 29 | 5.3 |
Mitt Romney | 25.3 | 27 | -1.7 |
Fred Thompson | 13.4 | 15 | -1.6 |
John McCain | 13.1 | 13 | 0.1 |
Ron Paul | 10 | 10 | 0 |
Rudy Giuliani | 3.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
Duncan Hunter | 0.4 | 2 | -1.6 |
Tom Tancredo | 0 | 1 | -1 |
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